TURKEY

1. ENERGY, ECONOMIC AND ELECTRICITY INFORMATION

1.1 General Overview

As of its geographical situation Turkey connects Europe to Asia. Turkey is an important candidate to be the "Energy Corridor", for the transmission of the Central Asian Countries rich oil and natural gas resources to the Western Markets. Turkey has borders with Greece, Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Iraq and Syria. Turkey's total area is 779 452 km2, about 97% of which is situated in Asia and 3% in Europe. Four seas, the Marmara, the Aegean, the Mediterranean and the Black Sea surround Turkey.

Turkey's strategic location makes it a natural "energy bridge" between major oil producing areas in the Middle East and Caspian Sea regions on the one hand, and consumer markets in Europe on the other. Turkey's port of Ceyhan is an important outlet both for current Iraqi oil exports as well as for potential future Caspian oil exports. Turkey's Bosphorus Straits are a major shipping "choke point" between the Black and Mediterranean Seas.

Except for the eastern part of the Black Sea coastlands, most of Turkey has a very sunny climate even in winter. Average daily sunshine amounts range from three to four hours in midwinter to as much as twelve to thirteen hours in summer. The Black Sea coast has some rain all the year round. Although summer temperatures are rather high, the heat is tempered by the low humidity inland and the sea breezes along the coast. Occasionally the nights may be sticky and humid on the Aegean and Mediterranean coasts.

In 2002, the population was almost 70 million and the population density reached 89 inhabitants per km2 (see Table 1). The annual population growth rate from 2001 to 2002 was about 1.5 %.

TABLE 1. POPULATION INFORMATION

                 

Annual av.

                 

growth rate (%)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

1980

 

1960

1970

1980

1990

1999*

2000*

2001*

2002*

to

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   

2001

 Population (millions)

27.5

35.3

44.4

56.1

65.6

66.7

67.8

69.7

2

 Population density (inhabitants/km˛)

35.3

45.3

57

72

84.1

85.5

86.9

89.4

 

 Area (1000 km˛)                   779.5

 

               

Source: IAEA Energy and Economic Database, Data & Statistics/The World Bank, *National data

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2002 was 184,648 millions US$ (Table 2) and the GDP growth increased 8.1% from first quarter of 2002 to first quarter of 2003. Agriculture accounts for some 16 percent of GDP, industry for 24 percent, and services for 60 percent.

TABLE 2. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP)

               

Growth

               

rate (%)

               

1980

   

 

1980

1990

2000

2001

2002*

to

   

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 GDP (millions of current US$)

 

68,795

150,676

190,265

192,805

184,648

5.0

 GDP (millions of constant 1990 US$)

 

90,677

150,676

213,743

220,723

 

4

 GDP per capita (current US$/capita)

 

1,541

2,686

2,854

2,851

2,649

3.0

Source: IAEA Energy and Economic Database. * http://ekutup.dpt.gov.tr/eg/, (2002 GDP value was calculated as GDP at current TL producers' prices divided by annual average exchange rate of TL)

The five main energy reserves are given in Table 3 and Table 4. The energy consumption per capita in 2002 was 47.08 GJ/capita.

TABLE 3. ESTIMATED ENERGY RESERVES

 

Estimated energy reserves in

 

(Exajoule)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solid

Liquid

Gas

Uranium

Hydro

Total

 

 

 

 

(1)

(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 Total amount in place

93.29

1.81

0.27

4.97

39.81

140.14

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(1) This total represents essentially recoverable reserves.

       

(2) For comparison purposes a rough attempt is made to convert hydro capacity to energy by multiplying

      the gross theoretical annual capability (World Energy Council - 2002) by a factor of 10.

Source: IAEA Energy and Economic Database.

TABLE 4. PRIMARY ENERGY RESOURCES AND RESERVES

Reserves

Unit

Proven

Probable

Possible

Total

Hard Coal

Mt

428

456

245

1,129

Lignite

Mt

7,339

626

110

8,075

Asphaltite

Mt

45

29

8

82

Bituminous Shale

Mt

555

1,086

 

1,641

Hydro

GW·h/a
MW/a

125,328

35,310

   

125,328

35,310

Crude Oil

Mt

41

   

41

Natural Gas

bcm

8.6

   

8.6

Nuclear

t Uranium
t Thorium

9,129

380,000

   

9,129

380,000

Geothermal

 

MW/a electricity

MW/a heat

200

2,250

 

4,300

28,850

4,500

31,100

Solar

MW/a electricity

MW/a heat

 

 

 

8.8

26.4

Source: Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources.

Energy demand, production, import and export amounts of Turkey are given in Table 5. Energy demand increased from 69.86 Mtoe in 1996 to 78.40 Mtoe in 2002. Between 2000 and 2001, energy demand decreased approximately 5% due to economical conditions of the country.

TABLE 5. PRIMARY ENERGY CONSUMPTION

Mtoe

 

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

Demand

69.86

73.78

74.71

74.28

81.25

75.95

78.40

Production

27.39

28.21

29.32

27.66

26.86

25.17

24.57

Import

44.33

47.52

48.63

49.41

56.28

52.70

58.34

Export

1.88

1.63

2.40

2.79

1.58

2.62

3.16

Bunkers

0.46

0.62

0.63

0.59

0.47

0.62

1.23

Net Import

41.99

45.27

45.61

46.03

54.23

49.46

53.9

Production/Demand (%)

39.2

38.2

39.3

37.2

33.1

33.1

31.3

Source: Ministry of Energy and Natural Resources.

The sectoral energy consumption in 2002 is given in Table 6 and some statistical data between 1960-2002 are given in Table 7.

TABLE 6. TOTAL FINAL CONSUMPTION BY SECTOR IN 2002

Sector

Mtoe

%

Industry

24.47

31.2

Residential (H’holds&Services)

18.18

23.2

Transportation

11.32

14.4