PAKISTAN
1. ENERGY, ECONOMIC AND ELECTRICITY INFORMATION
1.1 General Overview
Pakistan is situated in South Asia and it streches over 1,600 kilometres from
south-west to north east. It lies between 23o and 37o north latitude and 60
o and 76 o east longitude. The country is a land of diversified physical features,
and six major physical regions can be identified as:
1.
Northern Mountains;
2.
The Western off-shoots of the Himalayas;
3.
Baluchistan Plateau;
4.
Potowar Plateau and the Salt Range;
5.
Upper and Lower Indus Plains;
6. The Thar Desert.
Similar to the diversity in physical features, Pakistan has great diversity of climate. In the northern mountains and western off-shoots of the Himalayas the winters are extremely cold and mountains remain snow covered, while the summer temperatures reach up to 520C at some places in the Baluchistan Plateau and the Lower Indus Plains.
Rainfall at most of the places in Pakistan is scanty. Nearly three fourths of Pakistan receives average annual rainfall of less than 25 cm [Ref. 1]. Pakistan is on the margin of the monsoon climate and most of the rainfall is in the months of July, August and September. Within the Indus Basin, flooding is an annual occurrence, and some parts of the Sind province are dependent on flood irrigated agriculture.
On January 1, 2003, the population of Pakistan was about 145 millions and the population density was 182 inhabitants per square kilometre (Table 1). At present, the population growth rate is about 2.1% per annum [Ref. 2].
Table 1: Population Information
|
Average Annual Growth rate (%) |
||||||||||
|
|
1960* |
1970* |
1980* |
1990* |
2000* |
2001* |
2002* |
2003* |
1960 to 1980 |
1980 to 2003 |
|
Population (millions)** |
45.0 |
59.7 |
80.2 |
108.2 |
136.0 |
139.1 |
142.1 |
145.1 |
2.9% |
2.6% |
|
Population density
(inhabitants/km2) |
56.6 |
75.0 |
100.8 |
136.0 |
170.9 |
174.7 |
178.5 |
182.3 |
2.9% |
2.6% |
|
Urban population
as percentage of total (%) |
21.4 |
25.4 |
28.3 |
30.2 |
33.4 |
33.2 |
33.5 |
33.5 |
||
|
Area (1000 Km2) |
796.1 |
|
||||||||
* In this report, unless otherwise specified, years correspond to financial
years (1st July - 30th June)
** On 1st January
Sources: [Ref. 2]
1.1.1. Economic Indicators
During the last 42 years, Pakistan's economy has grown at an average annual
rate of 6.8% (in current US$). However, due to high population growth rate,
per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has increased at only 3.9% per annum
during the same period. The present per capita income in Pakistan is US$ 390,
which places the country among the low income developing economies of the world.
The historical GDP statistics are shown in Table 2 and some basic indicators
are given in Table 3.
Table 2: Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
|
Average annual growth rate (%) |
|||||||||
|
|
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
1960-1980 |
1980-2002 |
|
GDP(Million of current US $) |
3,535 |
9,107 |
19,114 |
35,432 |
56,441 |
54,107 |
55,421 |
8.80% |
4.96% |
|
GDP (Million of constant 1990
US $) |
6,353 |
12,210 |
19,534 |
35,432 |
54,484 |
55,820 |
57,835 |
5.78% |
5.06% |
|
GDP (Million of constant 2000
US $) |
6,581 |
12,648 |
20,236 |
36,705 |
56,441 |
57,824 |
59,912 |
5.78% |
5.06% |
|
GDP/capita (current US $/capita) |
79 |
153 |
238 |
327 |
415 |
389 |
390 |
5.71% |
2.27% |
|
GDP by sector (%) |
|||||||||
|
Agriculture |
45.8 |
38.9 |
30.5 |
25.8 |
25.9 |
24.6 |
23.6 |
||
|
Industry |
15.0 |
20.7 |
22.7 |
22.2 |
20.8 |
21.4 |
21.6 |
||
|
Services |
39.2 |
40.4 |
46.8 |
51.9 |
53.3 |
54.0 |
54.8 |
|
|
Sources: [Ref. 2]
Table 3: Basic Indicators
|
Indicator |
Period/year |
|
|
Average annual rate of inflation* |
1980-1990 1990-2003 |
7.3% 8.6% |
|
Life expectancy at birth |
2003 |
63 years |
|
Literacy rate |
2003 |
51.6% |
* Measured by Consumer Price Index.
Sources: [Ref. 2]
1.1.2. Energy Situation
Energy Resources
Pakistan's commercially exploitable energy resources consist of coal, gas, oil and hydropower, and a large base of traditional fuels in the form of fuelwood, agricultural and animal wastes. Pakistan does not have adequate oil reserves (Table 4) and has to import large quantities of oil to meet its energy requirements. During 2001-2002, Pakistan spent about 29.7% of its export earnings on petroleum imports [Ref. 2].
Table 4: Energy Reserves (Exajoule)
|
Estimated energy reserves on 30 June 2003 |
||||||
|
Solid |
Liquid |
Gas |
Uranium |
Hydro1 |
Total |
|
|
Total amount in
place |
105 |
1.7 |
21.7 |
|
1.4 |
129.8 |
1 Equivalent to estimated hydropower potential of 30,000 MW by converting
to energy at 50% plant factor and using 10550 GJ/GWh conversion factor from
secondary energy to primary energy.
Sources: [Ref. 3]
Energy Supplies
The energy supplies statistics are given in Table 5. For the last ten years,
the indigenous oil production has been at the level of about 55,000-64,000 barrels
per day (equivalent to about 13-22% of the country's oil consumption). Pakistan's
natural gas production in year 2002-2003 amounts to 2,719 million cubic feet
per day. The incremental production from the fields under development and future
gas discoveries is expected to enhance the supply.
Coal Production in 2002-2003 was only 3.3 million tonnes. The sectoral distribution of coal consumption is as follows: Brick kilns: 53.3%, Coke use: 22.9%, Cement: 19.6%, Power: 4.2%. The development of the coal mining industry in Pakistan, particularly for power generation is hampered by many constraints relating to the quality and quantity of coal, mining difficulties, organization problems and investment risks.
During the year 2002-2003, hydropower provided 29.5% of electricity in Pakistan. Although, Pakistan has relatively high endowment of hydropower potential, only 5,046 MW (14%) has been exploited. Various mini/micro hydel projects are in construction or in planning phase and a number of medium and large size hydroelectric projects have been planned/proposed.
Two nuclear power plants are operating in Pakistan satisfying about 2.3% of electricity needs of the country in year 2003. The first plant, KANUPP, has completed its designed life and has generated over 10.7 billion KWh of electricity. KANUPP will restart in early 2004 for its extended life. The second nuclear power plant, CHASNUPP, was connected to the national grid on June 13, 2000, and has generated over 5 billion kWh of electricity upto 30 June 2003.
Table 5: Energy Statistics
|
Exajoule |
Average Growth
Rate % |
|||||||||
|
|
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
1980 to 2003 |
|
|
Energy Supply1 |
||||||||||
|
Total |
0.38 |
0.64 |
1.04 |
1.70 |
2.46 |
2.47 |
2.51 |
2.60 |
4.0 |
|
|
Solids2 |
0.29 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.55 |
0.65 |
0.60 |
0.61 |
0.64 |
1.7 |
|
|
Liquids |
0.07 |
0.17 |
0.20 |
0.50 |
0.83 |
0.86 |
0.83 |
0.80 |
6.1 |
|
|
Gases |
0.02 |
0.11 |
0.25 |
0.47 |
0.77 |
0.81 |
0.85 |
0.91 |
5.8 |
|
|
Primary electricity3 |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
2.1 |
|
|
Energy production |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
0.31 |
0.49 |
0.86 |
1.29 |
1.73 |
1.71 |
1.80 |
1.90 |
3.5 |
|
|
Solids2 |
0.27 |
0.33 |
0.44 |
0.52 |
0.62 |
0.57 |
0.58 |
0.59 |
1.3 |
|
|
Liquids |
0.01 |
0.02 |
0.02 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
8.8 |
|
|
Gases |
0.02 |
0.11 |
0.25 |
0.47 |
0.77 |
0.81 |
0.85 |
0.91 |
5.8 |
|
|
Primary electricity3 |
0.01 |
0.03 |
0.16 |
0.18 |
0.21 |
0.20 |
0.22 |
0.25 |
2.1 |
|
|
Net import (import-export) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total |
0.07 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.41 |
0.73 |
0.75 |
0.71 |
0.69 |
6.2 |
|
|
Solids2 |
0.02 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.03 |
0.05 |
|
|
|
Liquids |
0.05 |
0.15 |
0.18 |
0.38 |
0.71 |
0.73 |
0.68 |
0.65 |
5.7 |
|
|
Gases |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
|
|
|
Share of domestic
Oil production (%) |
17.7 |
12.4 |
10.4 |
24.1 |
15.3 |
15.3 |
17.5 |
18.4 |
|
|
(1) Energy supply = Primary energy production + Net import (Import - Export).
(2) Solid fuels include coal and commercial wood.
(3) Primary electricity = Hydro + Nuclear
Sources: [Ref. 3&4]
1.2. Energy Policy
Up till 2000, energy sector, to a large extent, was owned and operated by the
Government of Pakistan (GOP). During the last two decades, GOP formulated various
policies and programs to reform the energy sector. Besides improving the efficiency
of public sector institutions, policies were made to increase the private sector
participation in the development of energy sector. For the electricity sector,
the GOP encouraged setting up of private sector power projects on BOO (Build-Own-Operate)
basis under 1986 policy, but the response was not very encouraging. The GOP
announced comprehensive frameworks in 1994 and 1995 aimed at attracting private
sector investments for the development of power sector.
Creation of competitive markets for energy/electricity is one of the major aims of all energy sector policies. The GOP has setup legal and institutional framework for re-structuring of energy sector entities owned by the public sector. The ultimate aim is creation of a market in which private companies will be working under the regulatory authorities to provide energy/electricity on competitive basis.
The competitive electricity market will be established in two stages:
· Single Buyer Plus (SBP) trading arrangement
· Competitive Trading Bi-lateral Contract Market (CTBCM) by July 2009 or latest by July 2012.
In view of the fact that competitive market will need sometime to evolve, the GOP announced its policy for power generation projects in 2002. This policy laid down a frame of work in which both private and public sectors will work together to expand power generation capacity required in the near future (i.e. 2005 onwards). The objectives of the policy are:
·
To provide sufficient
capacity for power generation at the least cost, and to avoid capacity shortfalls;
·
To encourage and ensure
exploitation of indigenous resources, which include renewable energy resources,
human resources, participation of local engineering and manufacturing capabilities;
·
To ensure that all
stakeholders are looked after in the process, i.e. a win-win situation for all;
and
·
To be attuned to safeguarding
the environment.
Private Power and Infrastructure Board (PPIB) was given the job of solicitation of bids for hydel and indigenous fuel-based projects, for which feasibility studies are already available; and to initiate feasibility study work on raw sites for exploiting indigenous as well as renewable resource. As per 2002 policy, hydel projects in the private sector will be implemented on Build-Own-Operate-Transfer (BOOT) basis. Thermal projects will be established either on BOOT or Build-Own-Operate (BOO) basis by the private sector. The basis for selection of the successful bidder in each case will be the minimum levelized tariff, either through International Competitive Bidding for solicited proposal or through negotiations.
Because, large-hydro power projects will remain the responsibility of WAPDA (a public utility), it prepared a hydro power development plan in 2000. This plan identifies additional power generation capacity that will be required in the next 5 to 25 years (2005 to 2025), and hydro power projects that can be built.
1.3 The Electricity System
1.3.1 Electricity Market
In 1997, an electricity act was passed to establish the National Electric Power
Regulatory Authority (NEPRA) for regulating the provision of electric power
services in a competitive market. NEPRA is responsible for grant of licenses
to generation, transmission, and distribution companies. Until fully competitive
market is emerged the authority will approve tariff rates and other terms and
conditions for the supply of electric power services by the generation, transmission
and distribution companies.
By the end of 2002 the Power Wing of Water and Power Development Authority (WAPDA)
was restructured to create the following twelve corporate entities:
·
Three Thermal Power Generation Companies (GENCOs)
·
Eight Distribution Companies (DISCOs)
·
One National Transmission and Power Dispatch Company (NTDC); it was established
in December 2002 and was given exclusive right to transmit electricity 220 KV
and above in whole country excluding area of Karachi Electric Supply Corporation
(KESC).
Privatization of these generation and distribution companies was to be carried out by 2001. Up till now privatization schedule of only one distribution company (FESCO) is finalized and sent to the Privatization Commission of Pakistan. Restructuring of the KESC, has also been initiated.
1.3.2 Structure of the Electricity Sector
The followings are the major stake holders in the electricity sector.
· WAPDA (Water and
Power Development Authority)
WAPDA has the following responsibilities:
-Planning and execution of
hydro electricity generation projects;
-Execution of irrigation,
water storage, and soil drainage schemes;
-Prevention of water logging and carrying out reclamation of water logged and saline lands;
-Flood control.
· KESC (Karachi Electric
Supply Corporation)
-KESC is a public limited company
listed at Karachi Stock Exchange. Majority of its shares are held by the public
sector. However, plans exist for its privatization and disintegration of generation
and distribution business.
-KESC is responsible for generation,
transmission and distribution of power to the city of Karachi, Uthal in Sind,
and Bela district in Balochistan.
· PAEC (Pakistan Atomic
Energy Commission)
PAEC is responsible for:
-
Nuclear power project planning and implementation;
- Operation and maintenance of nuclear power plants;
-
PAEC owns two nuclear power plants:
§ KANUPP (Karachi Nuclear Power Plant), a 137 MWe PHWR, integrated in KESC
network
§ CHASNUPP (Chashma Nuclear Power Plant), a 325 MWe PWR connected to WAPDA
grid since June 13, 2000.
·
IPPs (Independent Power Producers)
Up till now private sector is
involved in electricity generation only. The IPPs in operation as on 30th June
2003 are:
- KAPCO (1466 MW)
- HUBCO (1292 MW)
- AES Pak Gen. (365 MW)
- Gul Ahmad Energy (136 MW)
- Kohinoor Energy (131 MW)
-
Tapal Energy (126 MW)
- AES Lalpir (362 MW)
- Japan Power (135 MW)
- Southern Electric Power (117 MW)
- Habibullah Coastal (129 MW)
- Fauji Kabirwala (157 MW)
- Rousch Pakistan (412 MW)
- Saba Power (134 MW)
- Uch Power (586 MW)
- Liberty Power (235 MW)
- Altern Energy (10 MW)
The
NTDC is supposed to establish its four independent parts.
i.
Central Power Purchasing
Agency (CPPA) for the procurement of power on behalf of the ex-WAPDA DISCOs,
ii.
“System Operator” to carryout the job of dispatching of plants and provision
of balancing services,
iii.
“Transmission Network Operator” for the operation and
maintenance of the transmission system including planning, design and capacity
expansion of its transmission system, generation expansion, least-cost planning
and sitting of new generation facilities,
iv.
Contract Registrar and Power Exchange Administrator (CRPEA) to look after
bi-lateral trading contract of generation licensees with the Bulk Power Consumers
(BPCs)/distribution companies.
Table 6 provides the installed electricity generating capacity and transmission voltages of WAPDA, generation companies and IPPs, while Figure 1 shows the installed generation capacity of the country by plant type.
Table 6: Power Plants and Grid of Utilities on 30th June 2003
|
Utilities |
Installed Capacity (MWe) |
Transmission Voltage |
|||
|
Thermal |
Hydro |
Nuclear |
Total |
||
|
WAPDA |
- |
5,010 |
- |
5,010 |
500,220,132 kV |
|
AJKHEB* |
|
36 |
|
36 |
|
|
KESC |
1,756 |
- |
- |
1,756 |
220,132 kV |
|
PAEC |
- |
- |
462 |
462 |
|
|
IPPs |
5,794 |
- |
- |
5,794 |
500,220,132 kV |
|
CPGCL |
1,655 |
- |
- |
1,655 |
|
|
NPGC |
1,876 |
- |
- |
1,876 |
|
|
JPCL |
904 |
- |
- |
904 |
|
|
Total |
12,286 |
5,046 |
462 |
17,793 |
|
*Azad Jammu Kashmir Electricity Board
Source: [Ref. 3 & 4]
Fig. 1 Installed Generating Capacity of Electric Power on 30th June 2003
1.3.3. Decision Making Process
The National Economic Council (NEC) is the supreme body responsible for ensuring balanced development of the country. It was created in December 1962 under Article 145 of the Constitution of Pakistan. NEC is headed by the Head of the Government. Its members include some of Federal Ministers, the Governors/Chief Ministers of the provinces, and the Deputy Chairman of the Planning Commission. The Planning Commission is the chief instrument for formulating the national plans.
The Energy Wing of the Planning Commission estimates the energy demand on the
basis of information obtained from all concerned entities. It integrates this
information at the national level to formulate unified short and long-term national
energy plans.
Within the energy sector, the nuclear power area is handled exclusively by the
PAEC, which also carries out its own energy studies and makes suggestions to
the Energy Wing particularly towards the development of nuclear power with a
view to ensure an appropriate mix of resources for electricity generation. The
Energy Wing forwards the suggestions to the NEC. The NEC has the overall control
of planning and approves all plans and policies relating to electricity sector
development, and makes the energy policy. The Executive Committee of the National
Economic Council (ECNEC) supervises the implementation of energy policy laid
down by the Government, and approves any energy sector project to be built by
the public sector. For example, any nuclear or large-hydro power project needs
approval of the ECNEC.
PPIB has been set up under the Ministry of Water and Power to assess, evaluate,
and co-ordinate the private sector power generation projects.
In 1997, NEPRA was established for regulating the provision of electric power services. NEPRA is responsible for grant of licenses for generation, transmission, and distribution of electric power. It approves tariff rates and other terms and conditions for the supply of electric power services.
1.3.4. Main Indicators
Table 7 shows the historical electricity production and installed capacity in
the country and Table 8 provides energy related ratios. Most parts of the country
have both severe winter and summer as a result, there is a vide variation in
electricity demand during the year. Furthermore, higher share of household sector
in total electricity demand makes the peak demand more pronounced. On the other
hand, high share of hydro power in total supply results in seasonal variation
in supply. These variations are further effected by the regulation on water
out flow from the storage dam for irrigation. Up till early 1990, there was
a wide gap between the maximum demand at peak hours and the installed capacity
in certain months. The hydro capacity decreases to about 3,000 MW from installed
capacity of 5,046 MW when the water level in the dams gets low.
Table 9 gives weighted average generation costs of electricity by producers in year 2002. Table 10 gives power sector development plan for next twenty years prepared by NTDC.
Table 7: Electricity Production and Installed Capacity
|
Average Annual Growth Rate (%) |
||||||||||
|
|
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
1980 to 2003 |
|
|
Electricity production
(TWh) |
|
|||||||||
|
Thermal |
0.59 |
3.54 |
6.17 |
20.72 |
46.06 |
48.93 |
51.17 |
51.59 |
9.67 |
|
|
Hydro |
0.51 |
2.92 |
8.72 |
16.93 |
19.29 |
17.19 |
18.94 |
22.35 |
4.18 |
|
|
Nuclear |
* |
0.29 |
0.40 |
2.00 |
1.8 |
1.74 |
|
|
||
|
Total(1) |
1.10 |
6.46 |
14.89 |
37.94 |
65.75 |
68.12 |
72.41 |
75.68 |
7.33 |
|
|
Capacity of electrical plants (GWe) |
|
|||||||||
|
Thermal |
0.17 |
1.05 |
1.79 |
4.83 |
12.44 |
12.18 |
12.29 |
12.29 |
8.73 |
|
|
Hydro |
0.25 |
0.67 |
1.57 |
2.90 |
4.83 |
4.83 |
5.01 |
5.05 |
5.22 |
|
|
Nuclear |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.46 |
0.46 |
.46 |
5.43 |
|
||
|
Total |
0.42 |
1.72 |
3.50 |
7.86 |
17.40 |
17.47 |
17.76 |
17.79 |
7.33 |
|
(1) Electricity losses are not deducted.
* Less than 0.01 TWh
Sources: [Ref.3, 4 and PAEC]
Table 8: Energy* Related Ratios
|
|
1960 |
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
|
Energy supply per capita (GJ/capita) |
8 |
11 |
13 |
16 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
|
Electricity generation per capita (kWh/capita)** |
24 |
108 |
186 |
351 |
483 |
490 |
510 |
522 |
|
Electricity production/Energy production (%) |
4 |
14 |
18 |
31 |
40 |
42 |
43 |
42 |
|
Nuclear/Total electricity (%) |
- |
- |
*** |
0.8 |
0.6 |
2.9 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
|
Ratio of external dependency (%)(1) |
18 |
23 |
18 |
24 |
30 |
31 |
28 |
27 |
|
Load factor of electricity plants (%) |
||||||||
|
- Total |
30 |
43 |
49 |
55 |
43 |
45 |
47 |
49 |
|
- Thermal |
40 |
39 |
39 |
49 |
42 |
46 |
48 |
48 |
|
- Hydro |
23 |
50 |
64 |
67 |
46 |
41 |
43 |
51 |
|
- Nuclear |
- |
- |
- |
24 |
33 |
49 |
44 |
43 |
(1) Net import / Total energy consumption
* Wood is included
** Self generation is not included
*** Less than 0.1%.
Sources: [Ref. 2, 3 &4]
Table 9: Electricity Generation Costs in 2001-02
|
|
Generation (GWh) |
Weighted Average Generation cost (Rs*./kWh) |
|
WAPDA-Hydel |
18,941 |
0.21 |
|
WAPDA-Thermal |
18,684 |
2.50 |
* One US $. = Rs. 61.4258
Sources: [Ref. 8]
Table 10. Requirements of Electricity Generation Capacity (MWe) in the years
2010, 2020 and 2025
|
2010 |
2020 |
2025 |
|||||||
|
Low |
Medium |
High |
Low |
Medium |
High |
Low |
Medium |
High |
|
|
Maximum Demand (MW) |
16554 |
16758 |
16895 |
27188 |
31221 |
33379 |
33842 |
41194 |
48,199 |
|
Energy Generated (GWh) |
99315 |
100490 |
101351 |
163250 |
187220 |
200283 |
202946 |
246705 |
288,804 |
Sources: [Ref. 9]
2. NUCLEAR POWER SITUATION
2.1. Historical Development and current nuclear power organizational structure
2.1.1 Overview
Pakistan started construction of its first Nuclear Power Plant (KANUPP) in 1966
at Karachi and it was commissioned in 1971. The contract for a turnkey project
of 137 MWe CANDU (PHWR) reactor was awarded to the Canadian General Electric
(CGE). In 1975, Canada refused to supply fuel and spares for this plant due
to nuclear non-proliferation concerns. Thereafter, Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission
undertook fuel fabrication on an emergency basis and has been producing locally
made fuel since 1981.
Despite the keen interest of Pakistan in building additional nuclear power plants, it took more than two decades to start construction of the second nuclear power plant due to unfavourable international environment coupled with lack of indigenous technological and industrial capabilities for independent design and construction of nuclear power plant. The construction of Pakistan's second nuclear power plant started in 1992 with the help of China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC). The plant was connected to the national grid on June 13, 2000. It has a gross capacity of 325 MWe and is located at Chashma.
2.1.2 Current Organizational Chart(s)
Figure 2 shows the Organizational Chart for the National Atomic Energy Authority of Pakistan.
Established as Pakistan Atomic Energy Committee in 1955, the Ordinance for Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission (PAEC) was promulgated by the President of Pakistan on 27th May 1965 which was later approved by the National Assembly on 21st July, 1965. PAEC was established for the promotion of peaceful uses of atomic energy in the country, the discharge of international obligations connected therewith, the execution of development projects involving nuclear power stations and matters incidental thereto.
PAEC has a Chairman and six full-time working members and three part time members, appointed by the Government of Pakistan. PAEC reports to the Pakistan Atomic Energy Council consisting of 24 members. Since the inception of PAEC, head of the Council has always been the Executive Head of the GOP.
FIG. 2. Organizational Chart for National Atomic Energy Authority
The functions of the PAEC are to do all acts and things, including nuclear research work, necessary for the promotion of peaceful uses of atomic energy in the fields of agriculture, medicine and industry and for the execution of development projects including nuclear power stations and the generation of electric power. In the performance of its functioning, the Commission is guided by the instructions, if any, given to it by the GOP. PAEC may, subject to prior approval of GOP, cooperate with foreign national authority or international organization in respect of peaceful uses of atomic energy. PAEC also represents Pakistan's membership in IAEA.
2.2. Nuclear Power Plants: Status and Operations
At present, nuclear power provides about 2.3% of electricity generation in the
country. This power is generated by a 137 MWe PHWR, KANUPP and 325 MWe, PWR
CHASNUPP. PAEC is planning to install another nuclear power plant at the CHASNUPP
site. Table 11 provides the status of nuclear power plants in the country. The
first nuclear power plant of Pakistan (KANUPP) completed its nominal designed
life of 30 years in 2002. After long-term planning with the IAEA and CANDU Operators
Group (COG), PAEC carried out a renovation programme for KANUPP in 2002 to extend
its life for 15 years. Table 11 gives the major features of the NPP of Pakistan.
Table 11: Status of Nuclear Power Plants
|
Station |
KANUPP |
CHASNUPP 1 |
CHASNUPP 2 |
|
Type |
PHWR |
PWR |
PWR |
|
Gross Capacity |
137 |
325 |
|
|
Operator |
PAEC |
PAEC |
PAEC |
|
Status |
In Licensing process
after rehabilitation |
Operational |
Proposed |
|
Reactor Supplier |
CGE |
CNNC |
|
|
Construction Date |
01-Aug.-66 |
01-Aug.-93 |
|
|
Criticality Date |
01-Aug.-71 |
03-May-2000 |
|
|
Grid Connection Date |
18-Oct.-71 |
13-June-2000 |
|
|
Commercial Operation
Date |
07-Dec.-72 |
15-Sept-2000 |
|
|
Shutdown Date |
Source: PAEC
2.3 Supply of NPPs
Policy and Strategy
Pakistan aims at gradual indigenisation of its nuclear power program to the
optimum level in order to reduce dependence on imported plant and fuel, conserve
the precious foreign exchange component and lower overall cost, while raising
the level of nation's industrial and technological base.
Achievements
PAEC started nuclear power planning activities since early 1960s and has now
developed expertise in energy forecasting, power plant economics and power system
expansion and pre-project planning.
Design and engineering of nuclear power plant was initiated in 1980 and a formal Design & Engineering Department was set up in 1985. Over 100 engineers trained in Europe and China have actively participated in the design, design review, PSAR and FSAR preparation and review of CHASNUPP.
PAEC has already developed non-destructive testing (NDT) and quality assurance (QA) capability. The National Centre for Non Destructive Testing (NCNDT) and Pakistan Welding Institute (PWI) have been set up and PAEC has trained a large number of personnel in public and private sector.
The development of infrastructure facilities at CHASNUPP site and civil construction of all plant building/structures outside nuclear and conventional islands has been carried out by local industry. In future plants, civil works will be mostly carried out by local industry with sizable contribution in installation activities as well.
Some local manufacturing capability exists in the public and private sectors for the manufacturing of thermal power plant boiler components, heat exchangers and electrical equipment. In PAEC, efforts have been made to look after instrumentation and control, material, nuclear fuel cycle facilities and manufacture of spares for KANUPP. A Full Scope Training Simulator for CHASNUPP has also been developed by PAEC with the technical assistance of Chinese experts in addition to manufacturing of several vessels, tanks and piping, etc.
2.4 Operation of NPPs
PAEC is responsible for operation and maintenance of nuclear power plants in the country. KANUPP has been kept operational since its commissioning in 1971. In fact, since 1976 when Canada unilaterally abrogated the tripartite arrangement (Pakistan, Canada, IAEA) and stopped all supplies of fuel, heavy water, spare parts and technical information, Pakistan has been operating this plant under great odds. Pakistan had no other option but to develop local capabilities for making fuel and spares by itself. Now, PAEC has capability to operate its two nuclear power plants (KANUPP & CHASNUPP) satisfactorily. Various PAEC centres (e.g., NCNDT, PWI, PINSTECH) provide valuable backup services as required.
2.5 Fuel Cycle and Waste Management
PAEC initiated nuclear fuel cycle activities with a modest prospecting programme in early 1960s. A number of promising areas were located, some of which are presently being explored.
Uranium ore has been mined and the first ore processing plant using this indigenous ore has been in operation for some time. Essential laboratory facilities have also been set up to support the exploration and ore process development work.
Kundian Nuclear Fuel Complex (KNFC) has the facility for the fabrication of
fuel for KANUPP.
Appropriate radioactive waste management systems have been designed for KANUPP
and CHASNUPP to remove radioactive liquid, gaseous and solid wastes arising
from the plant. These radioactive waste management systems collect, store, allow
sufficient radioactive decay and process the waste through filtration, ion exchange,
evaporation, solidification, vitrification and drumming.
2.6 Research and Development
Research Reactor Facilities
PARR-1 Swimming Pool 10 MW
AMF, USA
PARR-2 Tank in Pool
30kW CIAE, People's Republic of China
Research Institutes/Centers
·
PINSTECH (Pakistan Institute of Nuclear Science and Technology)
Basic/Applied Research in Physics, Chemistry, Materials,
Safety, Radioisotope Applications and Radiation Protection
·
PIEAS (Pakistan Institute of Engineering and Applied Sciences)
(Formerly Center
for Nuclear Studies)
Bachelor, Masters and Ph.D Degree Courses in various
disciplines of Nuclear Engineering, System Engineering, Nuclear Medicine and
Information Technologies
·
KINPOE (Karachi Institute of Nuclear
Power Engineering)
Masters Degree in Nuclear Power
Engineering, Diploma Course for Technicians
·
INUP (Institute for Nuclear Power)
Indigenization and Design of NSSS
·
ICCC (Instrumentation, Control and Computers Complex)
I
& C of NPP, development of simulators, plant computer systems, etc.
·
CHASCENT (CHASNUPP Centre for Nuclear Training)
one year course for Engineers and Technicians
2.7 International Co-operation and Initiatives
Pakistan is an active member in various international organizations in the field
of nuclear energy, and exchanges operating data regularly with IAEA, WANO and
COG. The Fuel Channel Integrity Assessment Programme (FCIA) of Karachi NPP was
undertaken with the help of IAEA and COG, Canada. An independent review of KANUPP
steam generators was also carried out under contract by a Canadian utility.
An IAEA seismic safety review mission inspected the plant in 1993. The findings
of the mission are eminently satisfactory. A project, "Improved Safety
Features of KANUPP" is in progress under the auspices of the IAEA.
The design and safety review of CHASNUPP was carried out by an IAEA mission in 1993 and Pre OSART in March 1999. An IAEA OSART Mission of CHASNUPP is being conducted from 12-29 January 2004. PAEC shares its operating information with other Nuclear Power Plant operators, through IAEA, WANO and COG. Both the nuclear power plants KANUPP and CHASNUPP are under the IAEA Safeguards.
2.8 Human Resources Development
PAEC has been making a significant contribution in development of human resources in the field of Science and Technology in particular in application of nuclear Science and Technology. Every year young Scientists and engineers from various fields get post-graduate degrees and training in the training centers of PAEC listed in section 2.6. These trained personals also get the opportunity to get work experien ce in their relevant fields by working in the research institutes of PAEC. Especially, experience of working on research reactors and nuclear power plants is a unique opportunity for the professionals of the developing countries.
3. NATIONAL LAWS AND REGULATIONS
3.1. Safety Authority and the Licensing Process
In Pakistan, nuclear regulatory matters are overseen by the Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory Authority (PNRA). PNRA was established through a Presidential Ordinance of 22nd January 2001 [Ref. 7]. The Authority is in the process of its formation. A Chairman and a full time member have been appointed by the Federal Government. The Authority consists of a Chairman, not more than two full time members and seven part time members. PNRA is empowered to devise adopt, make and enforce regulations and orders for nuclear safety and radiation protection to all types of nuclear installations and nuclear substances.
PNRA issues licences for the nuclear installations and production, storage,
disposal, trade and use of nuclear substances and radioactive materials. The
licence may be issued on application made to the Authority accompanied by prescribed
fee, relevant information and documents, as required by regulations.
3.2. Main National Laws and Regulations in Nuclear Power
·
Pakistan Nuclear
Safety and Radiation Protection Regulations, 1990
·
Regulations for Treatment
of Food by Ionizing Radiation, 1996
·
Regulations for Licensing
of Nuclear Power Plant Operating Personnel, 1998
· Regulations for Licensing of Nuclear Reasearch Reactors Operating Personnel, 1998
After the promulgation of the Pakistan Nuclear Safety and Radiation Protection
Ordinance in 1984, and the Pakistan Nuclear Safety and Radiation Protection
Regulations in 1990, preparation of regulatory documents started in 1990. The
first document, prepared in 1990, was the "Procedure for Licensing of Nuclear
Power Plants in Pakistan", which provides the basis for the licensing of
nuclear power plants in Pakistan. Similarly, "Procedure for Licensing of
Research Reactors in Pakistan" was prepared in 1991.
4. CURRENT ISSUES AND DEVELOPMENTS ON NUCLEAR POWER
4.1 Energy Policy
Pakistan was among the first few developing countries to enter the field of nuclear power generation. Unfortunately, development of nuclear power in the country was constrained due to international embargoes, shortages of financial resources and insufficient technical manpower. However, this situation has improved considerably as a result of many years of a sustained and rigorous program of training, research and development in the nuclear field. PAEC is pursuing a comprehensive plan in order to enhance its technical capability in the field of nuclear power in a manner that would gradually lead to a high degree of self-reliance. The plan aims at systematically developing local capability, in close co-operation with supplier countries, leading progressively to increase indigenous design, engineering and manufacture of nuclear power plants together with their components and fuel.
4.2 Privatisation and deregulation
Under the current policy, an open and competitive electivity market is to be developed in Pakistan latest by 2010. The focus of this policy is to increase private sector participation in electricity market and reduce dependence on public sector. All fossil-fuel based power projects will be developed by the private sector. Nuclear power remains in the public sector. Because all activities in the electricity market are to be under the license of NEPRA, nuclear power plants although are part of PAEC, they are registered and will be operating under the rules and regulations given in the generation license issued to them by the NEPRA.
4.3. Role of the government in the nuclear R& D
Government. of Pakistan is fully supporting all the research and development programmes of PAEC. These R&D programs encompass nuclear application in various areas including medicine, agricultural development, food, water and nuclear power.
4.4 Nuclear Energy and Climate Change
Table 11 reports electricity generation from nuclear power plants in Pakistan during last 31 years. There were two alternative sources to replace this generation - gas fired and furnace oil fired power plants. Table 11 shows GHG's emissions if this amount of electricity would have been produced by these two alternative sources.
Table 11: GHGs Emissions Avoided by Nuclear
|
Total Nuclear Generation (million kWh) |
GHG Emissions (million tons) |
||
|
|
Oil Steam |
Gas Steam |
Gas CC |
|
14151 |
10.9 |
7.9 |
6.8 |
Hence nuclear power contributed in reduction of GHG's emissions in the range of 6.8 to 10.9 million tons during the last 31 years.
4.5 Safety and waste management issues
The Directorate of Safety (DOS) looks after the safety aspects of PAEC projects.
KANUPP and CHASNUPP have their own waste management programs for disposing solid,
liquid and gaseous wastes and sites for ultimate disposal of radioactive waste
are being explored.
4.6 Other issues
In near future PAEC is planning to install another unit of 325 MWe at Chashma
site.
REFERENCES
1. Pakistan Basic Facts 1985-86, Economic Advisor's Wing, Finance Division,
Government of Pakistan, Islamabad.
2. Economic Survey 2002-2003 (and its earlier issues), Economic Advisor's Wing,
Finance Division, Government of Pakistan, Islamabad, Pakistan.
3. Pakistan Energy Yearbook 2003 (and earlier issues), Hydrocarbon Development
Institute of Pakistan, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources, Government
of Pakistan, Islamabad, Pakistan.
4. Energy Data Book, Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Resources, Government
of Pakistan, 1978.
5. WAPDA Annual Report 2001-2002, WAPDA House, Lahore, Pakistan.
6. WAPDA, Fifteen Years Power Sector Development Plan 2001-2015 for Task Force
to prepare Energy Security Action Plan, 2002.
7. The Gazette of Pakistan, Islamabad, January 22, 2001.
8. WAPDA, Power System Statistics February 2003, WAPDA House, Lahore, Pakistan.
9. Load Forecast Based on Regression Analysis (Forecast Period 2003-04 to 2024-25),
Planning Department, National Transmission and Despatch Company Ltd., October
2003.
Appendix 1.
International, Multilateral and Bilateral Agreements
Pakistan became a Member State of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
in 1957 and has actively participated in virtually all of the Agency's activities.
Pakistan has benefited from the IAEA's Technical Assistance and Co-operation
Programme (TACP), and has also provided training to many scientists and engineers
from other developing countries through TACP.
|
Agreements with the IAEA |
|||||
|
Project related safeguards agreements |
|||||
|
INFCIRC No: |
|||||
|
Research reactor |
5 March 1962 |
|||
|
Project agreements |
17 June 1968 |
|||
|
NPP Project/Canada |
17 October 1969 |
|||
|
Reprocessing Plant/France |
18 March 1976 |
|||
|
Supply of Nuclear Power station from PR of China |
24 February 1993 |
|||
|
Unilateral Safeguards submissions |
|||||
|
INFCIRC No: |
|
||||
|
Supply of U- Concentrate |
2 March 1977 |
|||
|
Supply of miniature source reactor from PR of China |
10 September 1991 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Not signed |
|||
|
|
|||||
|
Prefers the present system |
Letter of
|
|||
|
|
|||||
|
22 September 1994 |
||||
|
|
|||||
|
|
|||||
|
|
3 September 1987 |
|||
|
Party |
16 April
1963 |
|||
|
Other Relevant International Conventions/Agreements
etc. |
|||||
|
|
Non-Party |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
Entry into force |
12 October
2000 |
|||
|
Entry
into force |
12 October 1989 |
|||
|
Entry
into force |
12 October 1989 |
|||
|
|
Non-Party |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Non-Party |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Non-Party |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
Entry
into force |
29 December 1997 |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Not signed |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Not signed
(adopted
1997) |
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Non-Member
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
Not adopted
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
|
No reply
|
|||
|
|
|
|
|||
|
Signature |
14 August
1963 |
|||
Appendix 2.
DIRECTORY OF THE MAIN ORGANIZATIONS, INSTITUTIONS AND COMPANIES INVOLVED IN NUCLEAR POWER RELATED ACTIVITIES
|
National Atomic Energy Authority |
|
|
Pakistan Atomic Energy
Commission |
|
|
(PAEC) |
Tel.:+92-51-9204276 |
|
P.O. Box 1114 |
Fax:+92-51-9204908 |
|
Islamabad |
Telex:5725 ATCOM PK |
|
Pakistan |
Cable:ATOMCOM,
ISLAMABAD |
|
|
|
|
National Nuclear Regulatory Authority |
|
|
Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory
Authority : |
Tel:+92-51-9204417 |
|
P.O.Box 1912 |
Fax:+92-51-9204112 |
|
Islamabad |
|
|
Pakistan |
|